15Jul 2022
Estimating the incidence and key risk factors of cardiovascular disease in patients at high risk of imminent fracture using routinely collected real‐world data from the UK

Estimating the incidence and key risk factors of cardiovascular disease in patients at high risk of imminent fracture using routinely collected real‐world data from the UK

The objective of this work was to estimate the incidence rate of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events (myocardial infarction, stroke or CVD‐death) at 1 year among 3 cohorts of patients at high risk of fracture (osteoporosis; previous fracture; and anti‐osteoporosis medication), and to identify the key risk factors of CVD events in these three cohorts. Models using a set of general, CVD, and fracture candidates selected by lasso regression had good discrimination (≥70%) and internal validity and generally outperformed the models using only the CVD risk factors of the general population listed in QRISK tool. Identified key risk factors highlight the differences between patients at high risk of fracture and the general population. Proposed models could improve the prediction of CVD events in patients with osteoporosis in primary care settings.

  • #orthopaedics

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